@Article{AlthoffMCSSOVS:2016:ClChIm,
author = "Althoff, Tiago Diniz and Menezes, R{\^o}mulo Sim{\~o}es Cezar
and Carvalho, Andr{\'e} Luiz de and Siqueira Pinto, Alexandre de
and Santiago, Gabriela Ayane Chagas Felipe and Ometto, Jean Pierre
Henry Balbaud and Von Randow, Celso and Sampaio, Everardo
Valadares de S{\'a} Barreto",
affiliation = "{Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)} and {Universidade
Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)} and {Universidade Federal de
Pernambuco (UFPE)} and {Universidade Federal de Sergipe (UFS)} and
{Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidade Federal de
Pernambuco (UFPE)}",
title = "Climate change impacts on the sustainability of the firewood
harvest and vegetation and soil carbon stocks in a tropical dry
forest in Santa Teresinha Municipality, Northeast Brazil",
journal = "Forest Ecology and Management",
year = "2016",
volume = "360",
pages = "367--375",
month = "Jan.",
keywords = "Century model, Forest management, CO2 emissions, Biogeochemical
cycling, Semi-arid.",
abstract = "The Brazilian semi-arid region is characterized by low and erratic
rainfall, high temperatures and high potential evapotranspiration.
The removal of firewood from the native tropical dry forest,
called Caatinga, can negatively impact important ecosystem
services, such as soil conservation, water resources, biodiversity
and atmospheric carbon capture, if performed in an unsustainable
manner. Most global climate models indicate that Caatinga will
experience temperature increases and rainfall decreases in the
next few decades. We used the Century model to simulate the impact
of climate changes on woody vegetation growth and on vegetation
and soil organic carbon stocks in a Caatinga area managed with a
single clear cut or cuts every 10 years, 15 years, and 20 years,
followed or not followed by the burning of plant residues (leaves
and small branches) left after firewood removal. The effects of
future climate projections, (LOW, MIDI and HIGH members of the
climate scenario SRES A1B, which corresponded to different CO2
emission predictions, downscaled by the Eta/CPTEC model), were
compared to those of the projection of the historical climate.
With the current climate, it would take 50 years to regenerate the
Caatinga biomass stock to a level close to that before cutting
after a single cut, followed or not followed by fire. Therefore,
the recommended cutting cycles (1020 years) were not long enough
to allow for the regeneration of a fully mature Caatinga. However,
all of these cycles reached sustainable biomass production levels,
with similar total productions until the end of the century. Under
these conditions, the lower proportions of biomass recovery of
shorter cycles would be compensated by more frequent cutting. The
model also indicated that burning or not burning the residues
would have little effect. On the contrary, if the climate changes
as predicted, the biomass of the native Caatinga vegetation and
soil organic carbon stock would decrease throughout this century,
even without cutting the vegetation. All of the cutting cycles
would not provide sustainable firewood production, with reduced
production after each consecutive cut. Therefore, if the climate
changes as expected, forest management legislation should require
longer periods of forest recovery between cutting cycles for sites
with environmental conditions (e.g., climate, soil and vegetation)
similar to those of the present study.",
doi = "10.1016/j.foreco.2015.10.001",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2015.10.001",
issn = "0378-1127",
label = "lattes: 1325667605623244 6 AlthoffMCSSOVS:2015:ClChIm",
language = "en",
targetfile = "1_althoff.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}